Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.198827 0.226160 0.255485 0.289238 0.326970 0.367801 0.415280
2026-02-08 0.158573 0.194396 0.235413 0.285685 0.345461 0.414080 0.498620
2026-02-15 0.130711 0.171071 0.219968 0.283209 0.362441 0.457992 0.581475
2026-02-22 0.113312 0.157171 0.213018 0.288721 0.387942 0.512755 0.680712
2026-03-01 0.097567 0.142794 0.203079 0.288364 0.404782 0.556848 0.768951
2026-03-08 0.085179 0.131009 0.194720 0.288433 0.421144 0.600444 0.858644
2026-03-15 0.075311 0.121321 0.187825 0.289215 0.437699 0.644542 0.951093
2026-03-22 0.068018 0.114386 0.183868 0.293337 0.458625 0.695341 1.055355
2026-03-29 0.062574 0.109534 0.182294 0.300455 0.483927 0.753388 1.172908
2026-04-05 0.057036 0.103800 0.178635 0.303751 0.503278 0.803406 1.281115
2026-04-12 0.052379 0.098931 0.175745 0.307746 0.523592 0.855594 1.395007
2026-04-19 0.049020 0.095862 0.175399 0.315607 0.550235 0.918596 1.528434
2026-04-26 0.044176 0.089771 0.169663 0.314474 0.562969 0.961843 1.635695
2026-05-03 0.039773 0.083954 0.163808 0.312552 0.574121 1.003099 1.742107
2026-05-10 0.035931 0.078724 0.158444 0.310922 0.585463 1.045101 1.851859
2026-05-17 0.033615 0.076201 0.157752 0.317513 0.611354 1.112489 2.006886
2026-05-24 0.030709 0.072114 0.153682 0.317454 0.625281 1.160227 2.131237
2026-05-31 0.028151 0.068426 0.149994 0.317712 0.639625 1.209237 2.260023
2026-06-07 0.025929 0.065183 0.146846 0.318668 0.655163 1.260962 2.395887
2026-06-14 0.024275 0.062995 0.145610 0.323223 0.677652 1.326065 2.558314
2026-06-21 0.023056 0.061657 0.146000 0.331024 0.706764 1.404502 2.748166
2026-06-28 0.021574 0.059508 0.144440 0.334640 0.727836 1.469125 2.915906
2026-07-05 0.020277 0.057642 0.143306 0.339010 0.750586 1.537878 3.094265